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Betting Matchup Preview
Game Details
Who: Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens
When: Thursday, Sep. 10 (Week 1)
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Where: M&T Bank Stadium (Baltimore, MD)
Betting Odds Summary
Spread: Texans +10 (-110), Ravens -10 (-110)
Moneyline: Texans +370, Ravens -485
Total: Over/Under 44 (-110/-110)
Note: Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. Subject to change.
The Baltimore Ravens will kick off their quest for a Super Bowl championship at home in Week 1 against the Houston Texans. Kickoff from M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and can be seen on CBS.
Baltimore drew a good card from the NFL’s schedule makers by receiving Houston to begin the season. The Texans are expected to be one of the worst teams in the league again as they begin their rebuild under new head coach DeMeco Ryans.
Every major offseason storyline for the Ravens revolved around quarterback Lamar Jackson. Jackson entered free agency following the conclusion of the 2022 season, and his destination seemed cloudy. Jackson was trying to set the market for his position, which caused some tension between him and the organization as negotiations dragged on.
At the end of the day, Jackson got what he wanted. The former MVP re-signed with Baltimore for a five-year contract worth $260 million, making him the highest-paid player in league history.
The Ravens’ new offensive coordinator Todd Monken will look to use every ounce of Jackson’s athleticism to find success in 2023. Baltimore also beefed up its receiving corps by signing Odell Beckham Jr. in free agency and drafting Zay Flowers from Boston College, giving Jackson more weapons to work with and reducing the team’s reliance on the ground game.
The Ravens’ defense will try to stop rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud in the season opener. Houston selected Stroud with the second overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft out of Ohio State and is hoping he can be the quarterback of the future.
Assuming he wins the starting job and is healthy enough to suit up, this will be Stroud’s first career NFL start.
Moneyline: Texans vs. Ravens Week 1
Baltimore is a heavy moneyline favorite in this matchup for a reason. The Ravens are stronger than the Texans in nearly every facet of the game and have one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. They are the superior team and also have home-field advantage.
Baltimore has -485 odds to win outright on DraftKings Sportsbook, which means a bettor must risk $485 to win $100. That isn’t worth it, especially in Week 1 when there are still unknowns on both sides.
With a new head coach and a new quarterback, Houston is a major wild card in this matchup. The Texans’ lack of experience will likely show against the battle-tested Ravens, who have won a Super Bowl under John Harbaugh and are coming off four playoff appearances in their last five seasons.
If you want to bet a straight moneyline and have the money for a worthy payout, take Baltimore at -485, although this bet would be better used as a leg in a parlay rather than as a straight bet.
Spread: Texans vs. Ravens
Because the moneyline market is so juiced, there is more value to be had on the spread. The spread in favor of the Ravens may seem like a difficult number to lay, though, because it requires Baltimore to win by two scores.
Baltimore is poised to have its best offense in years following its offseason upgrades. The Ravens are usually a strong defensive team as well, giving up the third-fewest points and ninth-fewest yards per game last season.
Houston, on the other hand, is abysmal on both sides of the ball. The Texans ranked 30th out of 32 in points scored last year and 27th in points allowed, so they’ll have a hard time keeping up with Baltimore. They also lost seven games by double digits last year, so they’re no stranger to lopsided defeats.
Houston has much to prove before it can be trusted in the betting markets, even as a large underdog against the spread.
Over/Under Total: Texans vs. Ravens
The Over/Under is set at 44 points, which is essentially a standard total in the NFL. The Under tends to be a theme early in the season as it typically takes offenses longer to develop than defenses.
Jackson and co. shouldn’t have much trouble scoring against the Texans’ shaky defense, but we don’t believe Houston will score a lot of points after averaging just 17.0 per game last year. Stroud will likely make a few costly mistakes as well that will leave points on the board for the offensively-challenged Texans.
Accordingly, our favorite play for this matchup is under 44 points.
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